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Will Slashing Student Loans Mean More Youth at the Polls?

Democrats hope Biden’s student loan relief program will boost youth voting, but it will likely be just one of many issues voters of all ages will weigh in November

Shadi Bushra

Written By: Shadi Bushra

Published: 10/11/2022

Key Insights:

  • Democrats’ chances of keeping their majorities in the midterms depend in large part on whether younger voters turn out.
  • A late-September YouGov/American University poll found that almost 70% of respondents aged 18-34 were enthusiastic about the election, with almost twice as many young voters favoring Democrats as Republicans.
  • This contrasts with youth approval of President Biden before the debt relief announcement: Only 32% of those aged 18-29 had a very or somewhat favorable view of the president according to a NYT/Siena College poll this summer.
  • While Democrats are hoping for a “debt relief dividend” this election, a number of other issues could affect youth turnout, including the economy and reproductive rights.

Applications for unprecedented debt relief for qualified borrowers are meant to open in October, with untold numbers of former students and graduates waiting for their turn to erase thousands of dollars of loans.

But the timing of the announcement and its implementation strongly suggest it’s meant to shore up Democrats’ weaknesses leading into November’s midterm elections. Though younger voters lean towards the party, they’re also some of the least likely to turn out in midterm elections. It’s hard not to see it as a calculated political move, as well as a potentially beneficial social and economic policy.

Shadi Bushra

Written By: Shadi Bushra

Published: 10/11/2022

Key Insights:

  • Democrats’ chances of keeping their majorities in the midterms depend in large part on whether younger voters turn out.
  • A late-September YouGov/American University poll found that almost 70% of respondents aged 18-34 were enthusiastic about the election, with almost twice as many young voters favoring Democrats as Republicans.
  • This contrasts with youth approval of President Biden before the debt relief announcement: Only 32% of those aged 18-29 had a very or somewhat favorable view of the president according to a NYT/Siena College poll this summer.
  • While Democrats are hoping for a “debt relief dividend” this election, a number of other issues could affect youth turnout, including the economy and reproductive rights.

Applications for unprecedented debt relief for qualified borrowers are meant to open in October, with untold numbers of former students and graduates waiting for their turn to erase thousands of dollars of loans.

But the timing of the announcement and its implementation strongly suggest it’s meant to shore up Democrats’ weaknesses leading into November’s midterm elections. Though younger voters lean towards the party, they’re also some of the least likely to turn out in midterm elections. It’s hard not to see it as a calculated political move, as well as a potentially beneficial social and economic policy.

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Government Responds to Student Loan Crisis With Billions in Debt Relief

Student loan crisis has been decades in the making

Students and graduates in the United States have been in a generational student loan crisis that presently ensnares about 40 million Americans in some $1.75 trillion of debt. 

Since 1980, the inflation-adjusted cost of four-year public and private college has nearly tripled, but federal support has not kept up. Pell Grants used to cover about 80 percent of public college costs for students from working families. Today, they only cover a third, the White House , there was a sense that Biden had failed to live up to key campaign promises, including addressing racial bias in police departments, ending the pandemic, or overseeing an orderly withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Most of these commitments were either already too late to change, such as the chaotic and deadly end to the war in Afghanistan, or were held up in Congress, like policing reform.

All of this made it even more necessary for the White House to boost flagging support among key constituencies by showing it would follow through on its commitments.

In the month after announcing the debt relief plan, Biden saw his overall approval rating rise to 41%, according to a . The threat of this backslide makes it a particularly potent tool for motivating voters who disagree with the decision. (Here is our reproductive healthcare guide for college students trying to navigate the new environment.)

These overlapping polls show that while forgiving debt may have been a good political play, there’s no guarantee it will overshadow other issues such as reproductive rights and the economy. There’s also no guarantee that it will certainly lead to Democratic wins, as enthusiasm ratchets up on both sides.

However, overall polling as of end-September generally gives Democrats a stronger chance of favorable results in November than they had before the debt announcement. A lot can happen in the coming month, but so far at least, it seems that debt relief could be both good policy and good politics from the Democrats’ point of view.

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